New research from Aalto University, published in Nature Food, shows how the adjustment to the feeding of livestock and fish could maintain production while making more food available for people. These relatively simple changes would increase the global food supply significantly, providing calories for up to 13% more people without requiring any increase in natural resource use or major dietary changes.
Roughly a third of cereal crop production is used as animal feed, and about a quarter of captured fish aren’t used to feed people. Matti Kummu, associate professor of global water and food issues at Aalto, led a team that investigated the potential of using crop residues and food byproducts in livestock and aquaculture production, freeing up the human-usable material to feed people.
“This was the first time anyone has collected the food and feed flows in this detail globally, from both terrestrial and aquatic systems, and combined them together. That let us understand how much of the food byproducts and residues are already in use, which was the first step to determining the untapped potential,” explained Kummu.
The team analyzed the flow of food and feed, as well as their byproducts and residues, through the global food production system. They then identified ways to shift these flows to produce a better outcome. For example, livestock and farmed fish could be fed food system byproducts, such as sugar beet or citrus pulp, fish and livestock byproducts or even crop residues, instead of materials that are fit for human use.
With these changes, up to 10-26% of total cereal production and 17 million tons of fish (~11% of the current seafood supply) could be redirected from animal feed to human use. Depending on the precise scenario, the gains in the food supply would be 6-13% in terms of caloric content and 9-15% in terms of protein content. “That may not sound like a lot, but that’s food for up to about one billion people,” said Aalto’s Vilma Sandström, the first author of the study.
These findings dovetail nicely with earlier work from Kummu’s group on reducing food loss throughout the supply chain, from production, transport and storage through to consumer waste. “In that study, we showed that reducing food loss and waste by half would increase the food supply by about 12%. Combined with using byproducts as feed, that would be about one-quarter more food,” he said.
Changes in supply chains and consumption
Some of the changes, such as feeding crop residues to livestock, would lead to a drop in livestock productivity, but the researchers accounted for that in their analysis. Another challenge is that the human-edible food currently used in livestock production and aquaculture is different from the food people are used to. For example, a different variety of corn is used in feed industries and some of the grains are lower quality, while the fish used in fishmeal production tend to be small, bony fish that currently aren’t popular with consumers.
However, overcoming these hurdles could result in substantial gains. Realizing these benefits would require some adjustments in supply chains. “For example, we’d need to reorganize the food system so that the industries and producers with byproducts can find the livestock and aquaculture producers who would need them. And some of the byproducts would need processing before using them as feed,” said Sandström.
“I don't think there’s any serious problem with doing this. What we’re suggesting is already being done on a certain scale and in some areas, so it’s not something that would have to be developed from scratch. We just need to adjust the current system and increase the scale of those practices,” Kummu concluded.
